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Sunday 25 September 2016, 16:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
Saint Etienne
3–1
HT 0–0
Lille
65% 23% 12%
Home win
64.5%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
12.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 64.5% 1.55 — —
Draw 23.2% 4.32 — —
Lille 12.3% 8.12 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.08 — —
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40 — —
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.49 — —
Over 2.5 45.0% 2.22 — —
Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Over 3.5 23.7% 4.22 — —
Under 3.5 76.3% 1.31 — —
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.48 — —
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44 — —
No 59.0% 1.70 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 87.7% 1.14 — —
Saint Etienne / Lille 76.9% 1.30 — —
Draw / Lille 35.5% 2.82 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
4.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
14.7
10.7
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
9.1
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.4
5.5
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.8
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Lille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Saint Etienne
W D D W D
Lille
W D L L L

Head to head

Feb 2025 Lille 4-1 Saint Etienne Sep 2024 Saint Etienne 1-0 Lille Mar 2022 Lille 0-0 Saint Etienne Aug 2021 Saint Etienne 1-1 Lille May 2021 Lille 0-0 Saint Etienne Nov 2020 Saint Etienne 1-1 Lille

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.