Tuesday 20 September 2016, 20:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
28%
30%
42%
Home win
27.9%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
42.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 12.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Lille / Toulouse | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
12.6
|
8.5
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
13.9
|
8.3
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
6.4
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
0-4
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Apr 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Lille
Oct 2024
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Toulouse
3-1
Lille
Nov 2023
Lille
1-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.