Saturday 17 September 2016, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
42%
27%
30%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
30.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 30.3% | 3.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Guingamp | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
7.7
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
13.0
|
7.3
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
8.9
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.3
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Guingamp
Sep 2018
Guingamp
1-2
Toulouse
May 2018
Toulouse
2-1
Guingamp
Sep 2017
Guingamp
1-1
Toulouse
Apr 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.