Saturday 15 April 2017, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
43%
31%
26%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
25.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.6% | 7.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.2% | 6.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.7% | 17.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Toulouse | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.6
|
10.2
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.6
|
13.9
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Guingamp
Sep 2018
Guingamp
1-2
Toulouse
May 2018
Toulouse
2-1
Guingamp
Sep 2017
Guingamp
1-1
Toulouse
Sep 2016
Toulouse
2-1
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.