Sunday 2 April 2017, 18:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
46%
26%
28%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
27.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 6.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Toulouse | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.8
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
12.6
|
7.0
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
9.3
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.9
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-3
Toulouse
May 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2023
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Apr 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Oct 2022
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.