Skip to content
Saturday 18 March 2017, 21:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
45% 32% 22%
Home win
45.4%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 45.4% 2.20
Draw 32.3% 3.10
Rennes 22.3% 4.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.7% 6.37
Over 1.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.7% 3.37
Under 2.5 70.3% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.6% 7.96
Under 3.5 87.4% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.60
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.6% 2.73
No 63.4% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 77.7% 1.29
Toulouse / Rennes 67.7% 1.48
Draw / Rennes 54.6% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.7
10.2
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.7
13.6
4.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.2
7.5
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.0
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.