Sunday 5 March 2017, 18:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
52%
29%
18%
Home win
52.4%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
18.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Lille | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.2% | 7.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Lille | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.2
|
8.0
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.5
|
12.8
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
8.3
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
0-4
Lille
Sep 2025
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Apr 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Lille
Oct 2024
Lille
2-1
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Toulouse
3-1
Lille
Nov 2023
Lille
1-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.