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Saturday 11 February 2017, 21:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
49% 31% 20%
Home win
48.9%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
19.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 48.9% 2.04
Draw 31.2% 3.21
Angers 19.9% 5.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.64
Over 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.4% 2.41
Over 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 2.5 69.2% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.53
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 20.97
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.4% 2.75
No 63.6% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 80.1% 1.25
Lille / Angers 68.8% 1.45
Draw / Angers 51.1% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
9.2
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
17.2
13.2
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.2
7.8
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
4.7
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.5
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.