Saturday 25 February 2017, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
40%
32%
29%
Home win
39.6%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
28.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Bordeaux | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.4% | 7.44 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.9% | 16.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.9% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Lille / Bordeaux | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Bordeaux | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.4
|
10.9
|
5.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
14.2
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
7.6
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Lille
0-0
Bordeaux
Dec 2021
Bordeaux
2-3
Lille
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-3
Lille
Dec 2020
Lille
2-1
Bordeaux
Oct 2019
Lille
3-0
Bordeaux
May 2019
Lille
1-0
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.