Skip to content
Friday 10 February 2017, 21:45 Matmut Atlantique Full time
24% 28% 48%
Home win
24.1%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
47.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux 24.1% 4.15
Draw 28.2% 3.55
Paris Saint Germain 47.7% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.08
Over 1.5 69.7% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.3% 3.30
Over 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.57
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.5% 2.10
No 52.5% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux / Draw 52.3% 1.91
Bordeaux / Paris Saint Germain 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 75.9% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
12.5
9.5
4.6
1.6
0.5
1
7.9
13.3
9.0
4.3
1.6
0.4
2
4.1
5.9
4.3
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
1.3
1.9
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bordeaux goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.