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Sunday 29 January 2017, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
1–1
HT 0–0
Monaco
49% 24% 28%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
27.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 48.5% 2.06 — —
Draw 23.5% 4.25 — —
Monaco 27.9% 3.58 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.33 — —
Over 1.5 84.7% 1.18 — —
Under 1.5 15.3% 6.54 — —
Over 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Under 2.5 36.0% 2.78 — —
Over 3.5 41.9% 2.39 — —
Under 3.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Over 4.5 23.7% 4.22 — —
Under 4.5 76.3% 1.31 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.7% 1.55 — —
No 35.3% 2.83 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 72.1% 1.39 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Monaco 76.5% 1.31 — —
Draw / Monaco 51.5% 1.94 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
4.6
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.2
1
6.4
10.4
6.9
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
6.6
9.3
6.5
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
4.2
5.9
4.1
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
2.0
2.8
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
0.8
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
D L W W W
Monaco
W L W W W

Head to head

Mar 2026 Paris Saint Germain 1-3 Monaco Nov 2025 Monaco 1-0 Paris Saint Germain Feb 2025 Paris Saint Germain 4-1 Monaco Dec 2024 Monaco 2-4 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2024 Monaco 0-0 Paris Saint Germain Nov 2023 Paris Saint Germain 5-2 Monaco

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.