Sunday 22 January 2017, 16:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
93%
5%
2%
Home win
93.1%
Draw
4.7%
Away win
2.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 4.7% | 21.43 | — | — |
| Lorient | 2.3% | 44.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.6% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.4% | 233.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.2% | 45.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 7.8% | 12.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 18.3% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 33.2% | 3.02 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Monaco / Lorient | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 6.9% | 14.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
1.5
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.4
|
6.8
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.1
|
6.5
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Monaco
1-3
Lorient
Sep 2025
Lorient
3-1
Monaco
Mar 2024
Monaco
2-2
Lorient
Sep 2023
Lorient
2-2
Monaco
Apr 2023
Monaco
3-1
Lorient
Jan 2023
Lorient
2-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.