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Saturday 14 January 2017, 21:00 Stade du Moustoir Full time
3–1
HT 0–1
28% 27% 45%
Home win
28.1%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
44.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient 28.1% 3.56
Draw 27.0% 3.70
Guingamp 44.8% 2.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.89
Over 1.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.0% 4.01
Over 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Under 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Over 3.5 27.6% 3.62
Under 3.5 72.4% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.66
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.9% 1.86
No 46.1% 2.17

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lorient / Draw 55.2% 1.81
Lorient / Guingamp 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Guingamp 71.9% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
9.9
8.0
4.0
1.5
0.5
1
7.3
12.9
9.2
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
4.6
7.0
5.3
2.6
1.0
0.3
3
1.8
2.7
2.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lorient goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.