Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
23%
28%
49%
Home win
23.4%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
49.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Metz / Guingamp | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
12.1
|
9.6
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
13.0
|
9.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
5.9
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.