Saturday 24 February 2018, 21:00
Stade de Roudourou
Full time
57%
25%
18%
Home win
56.6%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
18.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
| Metz | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.2% | 8.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Metz | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
5.9
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
11.9
|
4.9
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.7
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.