Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
62%
21%
17%
Home win
62.0%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
16.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Metz | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 19.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Metz | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
3.9
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
10.0
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.9
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
7.0
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.