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Saturday 29 April 2017, 21:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
42% 30% 28%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
27.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 42.1% 2.38
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Nancy 27.6% 3.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.44
Over 1.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 2.5 37.8% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.2% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.52
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.75
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.7% 2.24
No 55.3% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 72.4% 1.38
Metz / Nancy 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Nancy 57.9% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
9.8
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.0
14.0
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.6
8.2
3.9
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.6
3.4
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.