Tuesday 18 April 2017, 19:30
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
10%
19%
72%
Home win
9.6%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
71.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 9.6% | 10.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.0% | 16.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.8% | 5.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Metz / Paris Saint Germain | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Paris Saint Germain | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.0
|
11.7
|
13.5
|
10.0
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
| 1 |
3.3
|
8.9
|
9.2
|
6.8
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
1.3
|
2.9
|
3.2
|
2.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Metz
Dec 2025
Metz
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
May 2024
Metz
0-2
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2023
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Metz
May 2022
Paris Saint Germain
5-0
Metz
Sep 2021
Metz
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.