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Sunday 9 April 2017, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
4–0
HT 0–0
Guingamp
73% 18% 8%
Home win
73.3%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
8.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 73.3% 1.36 — —
Draw 18.3% 5.46 — —
Guingamp 8.3% 11.99 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.11 — —
Over 1.5 77.2% 1.29 — —
Under 1.5 22.8% 4.39 — —
Over 2.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Under 2.5 47.2% 2.12 — —
Over 3.5 30.6% 3.27 — —
Under 3.5 69.4% 1.44 — —
Over 4.5 15.1% 6.62 — —
Under 4.5 84.9% 1.18 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.8% 2.45 — —
No 59.2% 1.69 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 91.7% 1.09 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Guingamp 81.7% 1.22 — —
Draw / Guingamp 26.7% 3.75 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
3.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
12.9
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.7
8.9
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
6.5
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.8
3.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.6
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
D W W W W
Guingamp
L D W L W

Head to head

Jan 2019 Paris Saint Germain 9-0 Guingamp Aug 2018 Guingamp 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Apr 2018 Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Guingamp Aug 2017 Guingamp 0-3 Paris Saint Germain Dec 2016 Guingamp 2-1 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.