Sunday 19 March 2017, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
64%
21%
15%
Home win
63.7%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
15.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Lyon | 15.5% | 6.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 20.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.6% | 5.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Lyon | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
3.7
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
9.8
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
9.9
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
7.1
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lyon
Apr 2024
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lyon
Sep 2023
Lyon
1-4
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.