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Sunday 19 February 2017, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
Paris Saint Germain
0–0
HT 0–0
Toulouse
74% 18% 8%
Home win
73.8%
Draw
17.9%
Away win
8.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 73.8% 1.35 — —
Draw 17.9% 5.58 — —
Toulouse 8.2% 12.13 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.94 — —
Over 1.5 78.2% 1.28 — —
Under 1.5 21.8% 4.58 — —
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.85 — —
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.18 — —
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.14 — —
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47 — —
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.25 — —
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.5% 2.41 — —
No 58.5% 1.71 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 91.8% 1.09 — —
Paris Saint Germain / Toulouse 82.1% 1.22 — —
Draw / Toulouse 26.2% 3.82 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
3.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
12.5
8.4
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.9
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
6.6
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.0
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Toulouse goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Paris Saint Germain
W D W W W
Toulouse
L L W D W

Head to head

Apr 2026 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Toulouse Aug 2025 Toulouse 3-6 Paris Saint Germain Feb 2025 Toulouse 0-1 Paris Saint Germain Nov 2024 Paris Saint Germain 3-0 Toulouse May 2024 Paris Saint Germain 1-3 Toulouse Aug 2023 Toulouse 1-1 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.