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Saturday 4 February 2017, 21:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
Dijon
1–3
HT 1–1
Paris Saint Germain
23% 26% 51%
Home win
22.7%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
51.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 22.7% 4.40 — —
Draw 26.1% 3.84 — —
Paris Saint Germain 51.2% 1.95 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08 — —
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.83 — —
Over 1.5 74.8% 1.34 — —
Under 1.5 25.2% 3.98 — —
Over 2.5 49.3% 2.03 — —
Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Over 3.5 27.4% 3.65 — —
Under 3.5 72.6% 1.38 — —
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.74 — —
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
No 48.1% 2.08 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 48.8% 2.05 — —
Dijon / Paris Saint Germain 73.9% 1.35 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 77.3% 1.29 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
10.9
9.5
5.2
2.1
0.7
1
6.5
12.4
9.6
5.2
2.1
0.7
2
3.6
5.9
4.8
2.6
1.1
0.4
3
1.2
2.0
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Dijon
L W D D W
Paris Saint Germain
L W W W D

Head to head

Feb 2021 Dijon 0-4 Paris Saint Germain Oct 2020 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Dijon Feb 2020 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Dijon Nov 2019 Dijon 2-1 Paris Saint Germain May 2019 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Dijon Mar 2019 Dijon 0-4 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.