Saturday 28 January 2017, 21:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
42%
25%
32%
Home win
42.3%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
32.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Dijon | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Lorient / Dijon | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
6.1
|
4.7
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
11.7
|
7.7
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
9.0
|
6.3
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
4.9
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.0
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.