Saturday 17 December 2016, 21:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
29%
31%
40%
Home win
29.2%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
39.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.9% | 7.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.8% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.4% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Lorient / Saint Etienne | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.9
|
13.2
|
8.1
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
14.2
|
7.7
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
6.4
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Lorient
6-2
Saint Etienne
Aug 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lorient
Feb 2021
Lorient
2-1
Saint Etienne
Aug 2020
Saint Etienne
2-0
Lorient
Feb 2017
Saint Etienne
4-0
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.