Saturday 10 December 2016, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
65%
22%
12%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
12.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Lorient | 12.3% | 8.14 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.0% | 8.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Lorient | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.7
|
10.5
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
9.3
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.5
|
5.9
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Toulouse
1-0
Lorient
Nov 2025
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Apr 2024
Lorient
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
1-1
Lorient
Apr 2023
Lorient
0-1
Toulouse
Aug 2022
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.