Wednesday 30 November 2016, 20:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
64%
21%
15%
Home win
64.3%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
14.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 14.8% | 6.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Montpellier | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
9.9
|
4.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
7.0
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-3
Toulouse
May 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2023
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Apr 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Oct 2022
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.