Saturday 29 October 2016, 18:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
65%
21%
13%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
13.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | — |
| Lyon | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.5% | 6.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Lyon | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
10.2
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
6.5
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Toulouse
2-1
Lyon
Oct 2025
Lyon
1-2
Toulouse
Jan 2025
Lyon
0-0
Toulouse
Sep 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Lyon
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Dec 2023
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.