Saturday 19 November 2016, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
70%
20%
10%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
9.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Metz | 9.8% | 10.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.6% | 7.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Metz | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
9.4
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.3
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.8
|
6.3
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.0
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Metz
3-4
Toulouse
Oct 2025
Toulouse
4-0
Metz
Jan 2024
Metz
0-1
Toulouse
Oct 2023
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
Sep 2019
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Mar 2018
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.