Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
42%
28%
31%
Home win
41.7%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
30.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Dijon / Toulouse | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
8.0
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
13.2
|
7.4
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
8.8
|
5.3
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2020
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Aug 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Dec 2018
Toulouse
2-2
Dijon
Apr 2018
Toulouse
0-1
Dijon
Nov 2017
Dijon
3-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.