Sunday 18 December 2016, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
79%
14%
7%
Home win
79.0%
Draw
14.2%
Away win
6.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.2% | 7.04 | — | — |
| Dijon | 6.7% | 14.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Nice / Dijon | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
6.8
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
8.5
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.1
|
7.6
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.4
|
5.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Dijon
2-0
Nice
Nov 2020
Nice
1-3
Dijon
Sep 2019
Nice
2-1
Dijon
Mar 2019
Dijon
0-1
Nice
Aug 2018
Nice
0-4
Dijon
Feb 2018
Dijon
3-2
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.