Saturday 7 April 2018, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
45%
28%
27%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
27.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Dijon | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.9% | 11.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Dijon | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.9
|
8.0
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
13.3
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.0
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
4.3
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2020
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Aug 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Dec 2018
Toulouse
2-2
Dijon
Nov 2017
Dijon
3-1
Toulouse
May 2017
Toulouse
0-0
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.