Saturday 3 March 2018, 21:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
47%
26%
27%
Home win
47.1%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
26.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Dijon | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Dijon | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.7
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
12.5
|
6.7
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
9.4
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Saint Etienne
0-1
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-0
Saint Etienne
Aug 2019
Dijon
1-2
Saint Etienne
Feb 2019
Dijon
0-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2018
Saint Etienne
3-0
Dijon
Sep 2017
Dijon
0-1
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.