Saturday 25 November 2017, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
43%
30%
26%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
26.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.8% | 5.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.1% | 14.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Dijon / Toulouse | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
9.6
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.9
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
8.3
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2020
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Aug 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Dijon
2-1
Toulouse
Dec 2018
Toulouse
2-2
Dijon
Apr 2018
Toulouse
0-1
Dijon
May 2017
Toulouse
0-0
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.