Saturday 18 November 2017, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
60%
26%
14%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
14.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Metz | 14.2% | 7.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.1% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Metz | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
6.1
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.0
|
11.6
|
3.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
8.8
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Metz
3-4
Toulouse
Oct 2025
Toulouse
4-0
Metz
Jan 2024
Metz
0-1
Toulouse
Oct 2023
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
Sep 2019
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Mar 2018
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.