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Saturday 14 October 2017, 21:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
49% 32% 19%
Home win
49.2%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
19.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 49.2% 2.03
Draw 31.7% 3.15
Amiens 19.0% 5.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.9% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.1% 6.21
Over 1.5 56.6% 1.77
Under 1.5 43.4% 2.30
Over 2.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 2.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.1% 8.28
Under 3.5 87.9% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.2% 23.85
Under 4.5 95.8% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.5% 2.90
No 65.5% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 81.0% 1.24
Toulouse / Amiens 68.3% 1.46
Draw / Amiens 50.8% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.1
9.3
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
18.0
13.0
4.0
0.9
0.1
0.0
2
11.5
7.5
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
4.7
3.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Amiens goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.