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Saturday 23 September 2017, 21:00 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
41% 31% 28%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
28.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 40.6% 2.47
Draw 31.4% 3.18
Amiens 28.0% 3.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.54
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.32
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.55
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.37
No 57.9% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 72.0% 1.39
Caen / Amiens 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Amiens 59.4% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
10.7
5.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.7
14.1
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.4
7.8
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.3
3.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Amiens goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.