Sunday 20 August 2017, 16:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
58%
26%
16%
Home win
58.2%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
15.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Caen | 15.8% | 6.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.7% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.8% | 11.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Lille / Caen | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
6.3
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
11.9
|
4.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.1
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Caen
1-3
Lille
Oct 2018
Lille
1-0
Caen
Jan 2018
Caen
0-1
Lille
Feb 2017
Caen
0-1
Lille
Nov 2016
Lille
4-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.