Sunday 6 August 2017, 16:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
49%
29%
22%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
22.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Nantes | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Lille / Nantes | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
8.4
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
13.4
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
8.7
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lille
1-0
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
0-2
Lille
Mar 2025
Nantes
1-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
1-1
Nantes
May 2024
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Aug 2023
Lille
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.