Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
45%
30%
25%
Home win
44.8%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
25.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Nantes | 25.1% | 3.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
| No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Lille / Nantes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
9.3
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.8
|
13.8
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lille
1-0
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
0-2
Lille
Mar 2025
Nantes
1-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
1-1
Nantes
May 2024
Nantes
1-2
Lille
Aug 2023
Lille
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.