Saturday 22 April 2017, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
43%
29%
28%
Home win
42.7%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
28.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Nantes | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| No | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Caen / Nantes | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
8.8
|
5.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
13.7
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
8.7
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Caen
0-1
Nantes
Aug 2018
Nantes
1-1
Caen
Feb 2018
Caen
3-2
Nantes
Sep 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
Jan 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.