Sunday 19 March 2017, 16:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
12%
17%
70%
Home win
12.4%
Draw
17.2%
Away win
70.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
| Monaco | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.3% | 8.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Caen / Monaco | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
6.7
|
9.2
|
7.8
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
| 1 |
2.4
|
7.7
|
9.3
|
8.0
|
5.1
|
2.6
|
| 2 |
1.4
|
3.7
|
4.7
|
4.0
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
1.2
|
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Monaco
0-1
Caen
Nov 2018
Caen
0-1
Monaco
May 2018
Caen
1-2
Monaco
Oct 2017
Monaco
2-0
Caen
Dec 2016
Monaco
2-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.