Sunday 6 May 2018, 18:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
12%
19%
69%
Home win
11.9%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
68.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Monaco | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.8% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| No | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Caen / Monaco | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
9.9
|
11.6
|
8.7
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
3.3
|
9.2
|
9.7
|
7.2
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
| 2 |
1.6
|
3.6
|
4.0
|
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Monaco
0-1
Caen
Nov 2018
Caen
0-1
Monaco
Oct 2017
Monaco
2-0
Caen
Mar 2017
Caen
0-3
Monaco
Dec 2016
Monaco
2-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.