Saturday 21 April 2018, 21:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
43%
29%
27%
Home win
43.3%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
27.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Caen | 27.4% | 3.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.6% | 11.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Metz / Caen | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
9.0
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
13.7
|
6.5
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
8.6
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.