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Saturday 14 April 2018, 21:00 Roazhon Park Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
63% 23% 14%
Home win
62.6%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
14.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes 62.6% 1.60
Draw 23.2% 4.31
Metz 14.1% 7.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.47
Over 1.5 74.0% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.0% 3.84
Over 2.5 48.2% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.8% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.5% 3.78
Under 3.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.13
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Rennes / Draw 85.9% 1.16
Rennes / Metz 76.8% 1.30
Draw / Metz 37.4% 2.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
5.0
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.0
11.0
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.6
9.6
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
7.8
5.9
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.6
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Rennes goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.