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Sunday 8 April 2018, 16:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
49% 28% 23%
Home win
49.0%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
23.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 49.0% 2.04
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Rennes 23.1% 4.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.15
Over 1.5 69.8% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.2% 3.31
Over 2.5 42.9% 2.33
Under 2.5 57.1% 1.75
Over 3.5 22.0% 4.54
Under 3.5 78.0% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.49
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.12
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 76.9% 1.30
Nice / Rennes 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Rennes 51.0% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
7.7
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
12.6
13.1
5.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.8
9.1
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
4.8
4.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.6
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.