Sunday 1 April 2018, 18:00
Stade de la Meinau
Full time
55%
24%
22%
Home win
54.7%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
21.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Metz | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg / Draw | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Strasbourg / Metz | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
4.9
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
11.0
|
5.9
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.9
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
6.2
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
3.0
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Strasbourg
2-1
Metz
Aug 2025
Metz
0-1
Strasbourg
May 2024
Strasbourg
2-1
Metz
Sep 2023
Metz
0-1
Strasbourg
Jan 2022
Metz
0-2
Strasbourg
Sep 2021
Strasbourg
3-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.