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Saturday 28 April 2018, 21:00 Stade de l'Aube Full time
3–1
HT 2–1
41% 33% 26%
Home win
41.1%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
25.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Estac Troyes 41.1% 2.43
Draw 33.0% 3.03
Caen 25.9% 3.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.31
Over 1.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.8% 2.34
Over 2.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 2.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.4% 8.05
Under 3.5 87.6% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.94
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.5% 2.67
No 62.5% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Estac Troyes / Draw 74.1% 1.35
Estac Troyes / Caen 67.0% 1.49
Draw / Caen 58.9% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
11.3
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
1
15.6
14.0
5.3
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
8.9
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.2
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Estac Troyes goals. Columns: Caen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.