Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50
Stade Louis II
Full time
93%
5%
2%
Home win
92.7%
Draw
5.0%
Away win
2.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 5.0% | 20.05 | — | — |
| Caen | 2.3% | 43.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.5% | 186.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.7% | 37.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 9.2% | 10.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 20.9% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Monaco / Caen | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 7.3% | 13.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
1.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.0
|
6.9
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.4
|
6.3
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Monaco
0-1
Caen
Nov 2018
Caen
0-1
Monaco
May 2018
Caen
1-2
Monaco
Oct 2017
Monaco
2-0
Caen
Mar 2017
Caen
0-3
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.