Tuesday 29 November 2016, 20:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
47%
30%
23%
Home win
47.0%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
22.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Caen | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.9% | 7.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Lille / Caen | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.9
|
9.1
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
13.6
|
5.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
8.3
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Caen
1-3
Lille
Oct 2018
Lille
1-0
Caen
Jan 2018
Caen
0-1
Lille
Aug 2017
Lille
0-2
Caen
Feb 2017
Caen
0-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.