Friday 28 October 2016, 21:45
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
18%
26%
56%
Home win
18.2%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
55.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 11.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Lille / Paris Saint Germain | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Paris Saint Germain | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
13.1
|
11.3
|
6.2
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
12.2
|
9.5
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
2.9
|
4.8
|
3.9
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Lille
Oct 2025
Lille
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
Mar 2025
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lille
Sep 2024
Lille
1-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lille
Dec 2023
Lille
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.